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Quick Fixes -- By: Bill Kraft
Copyright 2009, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
 Bill Kraft Editor |
Many traders lose. That is no secret. The important question is
why so few actually succeed. I have had quite a bit of experience
teaching trading classes and working with individual coaching students
over the years and I thought it might be useful to discuss some of the
observations I have made, particularly in the coaching arena.
In my experience it is unfortunate that most students do not seek
help from a trading coach until losses have reached significant levels.
It is not at all unusual for prospective students to call telling me
that they have lost 30% or 50% or more of their portfolios. It seems
sad that losses have to reach such depths before help is sought.
Recently a student commented to me that it is so odd that in almost all
other endeavors in life we get training and education first but in
trading and investing the norm seems to be to wait until losses have
piled up before looking for help.
Undoubtedly, one of the reasons a lot of losing traders wait so
long to seek a coach is that they perceive the cost to be so high. In
my own case, I charge $3,000 for a single 6 to 7 hour day and $5,000 for
a two day session. At times, special discounts are applied that can
reduce that cost. I am aware of some coaches who charge more than twice
that amount. Yes, I can agree that $3,000 is a lot of money, but if we
really look at it in comparison to trading, it is probably equivalent to
one or two trades. When compared to someone who has lost half of a
$250,000 or even a $1,000,000 portfolio it is minuscule. As has often
been said, we pay for our trading education one way or the other.
In any event, what can coaching actually do for a trading student?
In my own case, when a prospective student contacts me I usually start
with a brief conversation on the phone so we can begin to get to know
one another. I try to find out what they've been doing and what led
them to contact me. I try to make a determination whether or not I
think I might be able to help them and suggest what I might have to
offer in their specific situation. I always suggest that they think
about it after our conversation to make sure it is something they
believe could be helpful to them. Assuming they follow up and decide to
go forward, we schedule a date and place and I then send them something
I title "New Student Information" along with a form of agreement that
essentially says that I will not be responsible for their losses.
The answers to the few questions on the New Student Information
form help me learn a little more about a student's background. I'm
trying to begin to determine what the individual's biases might be so I
can see what obstacles they might have to overcome. For example, it is
almost a joke in the industry, that people who are trained as engineers
often have a great deal of difficulty achieving success as traders.
Engineers are trained to gather every fact possible before proceeding
and then often seek perfection in the trade. This approach can be
problematic in that (a) it is not possible to know every fact that is
relevant to a trade, and (b) even if we did, the facts would quite
likely change to some degree by the time we actually entered the trade
or shortly thereafter. Please, understand that I am not trying to pick
on engineers. I am only using this as an example and do not mean to
suggest that no engineer could ever be a good trader. Just one
anecdote: I once drew a rough sketch in a class to illustrate how the
time value of an option diminishes ever more rapidly as the option nears
expiration. It was a hand drawn rough sketch and meant as an
illustration only. During the break when I came back into the room, an
engineer had a protractor and was measuring the slope on my drawing. We
made a big joke about it in the class, but had I not walked in on him,
protractor in action, he may have tried to apply the specific math to
later trades.
In any event, after asking background questions, the New Student
Information form seeks things like what the student has studied with
respect to his trading, whether he has a plan, and, if so, what it is.
I ask what strategies the trader has been using and how they have worked
out. Finally, I want to know what they expect from the session with me.
Inevitably, the answers provide us with definite direction and
often pinpoint problems with the traders method. While many times the
trader puts his finger precisely on the problem even before we have met,
it is clear that he has been unable to provide the solution. Oftentimes
it is as simple as the fact that the trader has a plan but he doesn't
follow it or that he has an exit strategy but doesn't pay any attention
to his own exit. Sometimes focus is misplaced and the trader may be
fixated on creating watch lists while the whole idea is not to create a
watchlist, but rather to find the entry in a trade. The point here is
that there is rarely a quick fix. If there were, the trader would
already have accomplished it for himself and would have no need for me.
I always try to go back to basics and identify precisely how the
unsuccessful trader is failing to cut losses and/or let profits run.
From there we try to look at ways the trader can improve his abilities
to follow his own plan once created and not let the emotions of the heat
of trading overrule his pre-determined decisions. Recognizing the
problem is only the first step and even though a problem may be apparent
to me it often is not apparent to the student and even if it is, the
solution may not be easy. The fixes are not necessarily quick, but once
the problem is identified and potential solutions discussed, the student
can go forward to work through their problems.
Good trading may be simple, but it definitely is not easy.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
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Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:
KLA-Tencor Corporation (KLAC)
Much is dependent upon overall market direction and whether
October is bringing a decline. I have seen a number of stocks whose
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Bill Kraft
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Trend Trader -- by Bill Kraft
Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.
Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:
UltraShort Dow30 ProShares (DXD)
One of the vehicles I tend to use in a downtrend is DXD, the
ProShares UltraShort Dow 30. Since it is an ultrashort, it tends to
move quite quickly and is designed to go up as the Dow goes down. The
Dow has recently come down off a double top resistance and is looking as
though it may be ready to undertake a retracement after a nice upward climb.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
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$10 Trader -- by Bill Kraft
We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.
Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:
China Integrated Energy, Inc. (CBEH)
$10 Trader closed a trade on CBEH for a 15.4% gain before
commission in just over two weeks. The stock showed quite a bit of
volatility early in the week but seems to be simmering down a bit at
this point. There is some overhead resistance around $7.50 and a break
above that level could start another leg up. Another possibility is that
it may be forming a cup and handle that might also offer a re-entry
opportunity.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
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