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Sine Metu (Weekend Newsletter)
Archived Issue

Weekend Newsletter
September 19, 2009

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      In This Edition:


    Sine Metu


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  • Sine Metu -- By: Bill Kraft
    Copyright 2009, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
    Bill Kraft
    Bill Kraft
    Editor

    I hope the little series of articles over the last three weekends provided some ways in which traders can cut losses and let profits run. The fellow who initially suggested I provide some information on the subject suggested it would be a cop-out to say that there are probably as many ways to cut losses or let profits run as there are traders, but as you could probably see if you read the articles, there are a wide variety of ways in which a trader can accomplish the goals. Much is dependent upon the creation of a plan that is specific to your own needs. In both books, "Trade Your Way to Wealth" and "Smart Investors Money Machine" I talk about the need for such a plan and in different ways show how an individual can construct a plan specific to his or her needs, age, station in life, goals, family situation, and financial status.

    Discipline is a first key. Most would-be traders, I find, are unwilling to even engage in the discipline of learning how to create a plan let alone working on its creation. It's my guess that their likelihood of sustained success falls somewhere between slim and none and leans to the "none" side. Creating the plan, however, is only the first needed act of discipline.

    As many of you may know, I just had the privilege of traveling through Ireland, an absolutely beautiful country. During our stay, we took the opportunity to tour the Jameson Irish Whiskey Distillery. In addition to learning how Irish whiskey is distilled, we learned how Mr. Jameson went to riches, then to rags as a result of world events totally beyond his control, but recovered to regain his riches. As a result, he was awarded a crest and a motto. The motto is: Sine metu. It means without fear. That is how Mr. Jameson managed his ultimate success and the ongoing success of this now internationally renowned company.

    Sine metu is a motto that all traders should take into account in my book. If we trade through fear, undoubtedly we will make bad trades. We will cut profits because we may be afraid of a pull back instead of having an exit strategy such as those I discussed in the last article in the recent series or we will let losses run because we are afraid to take the loss and move ahead. With a disciplined approach and a pre-determined exit strategy in place we have the ability to increase our chances of success and proceed sine metu.

    As an aside, for any who have shown interest in private coaching sessions, I am now booked through the rest of the year. I take no more than one student a month so if you are interested, you might want to contact me for bookings in early 2010. I am continuing the one day reduced price special in Arizona for January, February and March. It is 1/3 off the regular price for a one day session.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft


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    optionsXpress Holdings, Inc. (OXPS)
    I do have a position in this one, and I like what I am seeing. It does need to break the nearby triple top resistance at which time I would consider buying some in the money LEAPS calls to hold as long as the stock can remain in the uptrend that began when the stock came off the July lows.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft


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  • Trend Trader -- by Bill Kraft

    Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.

    Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:

    Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL)
    As the economy ever so gradually seems to return to life, this builder has shown some signs of upward movement. It has been consolidating since a run-up from June to August, but moved up Friday on much greater than average volume as it also did on Wednesday. Since Friday was option expiration day we could be seeing an aberration, but I think TOL may be worth watching.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft


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    We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.

    Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:

    IEC Electronics Corp. (IEC)
    Here is a stock that has been trending upward and bounced up off the uptrend line on Friday. It looks like it could have a target in the $7.50 area with an exit determined by a break of the trend line.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft


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