Share This letter with Friends on Twitter, Facebook and Other Social Networking Sites:
What Makes a Good Stock? -- By: Bill Kraft
Copyright 2010, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
 Bill Kraft Editor |
I suppose there is a simple answer to the question: "What makes a
good stock?" A good stock is one that enables us to make a profit. By
that definition, a stock whose price is dropping dramatically can be a
good stock for us if we have shorted it or bought puts on it or in some
fashion have set up a trade that is designed to make money when the
stock price falls. If not a good stock, it is at least one that
provides a good result. On the other hand, I am aware that many, if not
most, retail traders seek stocks that are going up in price. They are
bullish by nature and define a good stock as one that is increasing in
price. For the purposes of the remainder of this article, I'll go along
with the idea that a stock making a bullish move or one in which we can
profit from a move to the upside is a good stock.
The next question, then, is what makes a good stock. All too
often in my view, retail traders and investors confuse a good company
with a good stock. If we look back over the last 5+ years (beginning
January 2005), as an example, we can see that there are many good
companies that simply have not had good stock as defined by an increase
in value over the period. Take the Dow 30 Industrials for example. The
companies in the Dow are well known and the index is followed by almost
everyone who pays any attention at all to the markets. These companies
are generally regarded as giants in their respective fields, but how
have they done over the last 5 years? In terms of capital appreciation
have the Dow 30 been good stocks during that period? Looking, for the
moment, at those that have not split during those last 5 years, we can
see that as of June 1st, many are trading at less than they were at the
beginning of 2005. Among those that are down from their price at the
beginning of 2005 to the time of this writing on June 1st are: AA, AXP,
BAC, DD, GE, HD, INTC, JNJ, KFT, MMM, PFE, T, and VZ. Some like JPM and
MSFT are trading near the same price they were trading back at the
beginning of 2005. In other words, even after the relatively strong
run-up from March, 2009 to the present about half of the Dow, arguably
some of the best and strongest companies in the world, stood still or
lost ground.
The only conclusions I draw from those facts are that a good
company is not necessarily a good stock (in terms of capital
appreciation over a given period of time) and buying and holding even
great companies may leave the investor very disappointed over time.
Obviously there are other elements besides capital appreciation
that a given investor or trader may consider when defining for himself
what may be a good stock. Certainly, perceived safety may be a
consideration as might be the frequency and yield of dividends. So much
of the definition of what is a good stock must come from the goals as
incorporated into the plan of an investor. It may be that some
investors don't care whether the stock they own falls in price over a 5
year period as long as they are receiving regular dividends and can
write out of the money covered calls to bring in income while for others
it may seem inappropriate to hold a position that is going the wrong way
over a 5 year period.
Once again, it comes down to the individual's trading business
plan as I have so often emphasized here and about which I have written
relatively extensively in both "Trade Your Way to Wealth" , and in "Smart Investors Money Machine" . My purpose in this article is merely to
suggest that defining a "good" stock depends upon who is doing the
defining. It is probably a worthwhile effort to take the time and
trouble to understand the elements of your own definition.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Success Trading Group -- by Success Trading Team
Our Success Trading service delivers quality trading ideas for the elite investor that has the financial wherewithal and market nimbleness to profit on small moves in a stock's price. Become a member and you will be provided with real-time alerts intended to provide you with the opportunity to make many, many profitable trades.
Here is a play from the Success Trading Group:
MDU Resources Group Inc. (MDU)
We currently like MDU Resources Group (Ticker: MDU) at its current price for new positions. We have several stocks on our radar and are looking forward to trading next week.
Have a great weekend and we'll trade next week.
Success Trading Group Team
Trade Quality
Stocks Over and Over Again
Over 405 winning trades and only 9 losses!
Register Now
and Get $50 off our Normal Website Rate
Option Trader -- by Bill Kraft
Our Option Trading Service is for conservative traders that understand leverage principles and enjoy the challenge of options trading. We focus on powerful option trading strategies that place volatility and momentum in your favor. And we pride ourselves on always minimizing our losses!
The Option Trader service utilizes standard trading in Puts and Calls as well as strategies using Leaps, Straddles, Credit Spreads, Calendar Spreads, and Naked Puts. But no matter how sophisticated a strategy may be, we ALWAYS know our downside potential on every trade.
Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:
RUSSELL 2000 INDEX (^RUT)
When volatility is climbing I begin to watch for
opportunities to sell premium. Indices like RUT (Russell 2000 Index)
have options that often offer high premiums (and high risk). At
market close on Friday it appeared that a support may be forming on
the RUT and on a bounce I might look at selling some short term out of
the money puts like the Jun 600s quoted at $8.70 x $9.50 after the
close. Since selling naked puts can entail significant capital risk,
I might consider instead selling a credit so that I have limited risk
although that could take some of the volatility away.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
"Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
"Smart Investors Money Machine" is Bill Kraft's most recent publication.
"Trading for Keeps: Making Money with Low Risk Option Trades" a trading DVD by Bill Kraft
Try our Option Trader Real-Time Alert Service
and Get $50 off our Normal Website Rate!
Achieve returns with us like
16.48% return in 5 days!
Trend Trader -- by Bill Kraft
Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.
Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:
Tele Norte Leste Participacoes S.A. (TNE)
I was able to close a profitable position on TNE this week
before the sharp drop to capture a 7.6% gain before commission in 22
days. The price has now retreated to the vicinity of the trend line
and a bounce up off that will get my attention.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
"Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
"Smart Investors Money Machine" is Bill Kraft's most recent publication.
"Trading for Keeps: Making Money with Low Risk Option Trades" a trading DVD by Bill Kraft
Try our Trend Trader Real-Time Alert Service
and Get $50 off our Normal Website Rate!
$10 Trader -- by Bill Kraft
We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.
Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:
Edac Technologies Corp. (EDAC)
Though lightly traded, this one moved against the strong
tide on Friday to gain about 3% for the day. It appears to have
completed a bullish cup and handle pattern and could show some life if
not dragged down by the overall market.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
"Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
"Smart Investors Money Machine" is Bill Kraft's most recent publication.
"Trading for Keeps: Making Money with Low Risk Option Trades" a trading DVD by Bill Kraft
Try our Under $10 Trader Real-Time Alert Service!
Dividend Trader -- by Dividend Trader Team
Our Dividend Trader service focuses solely on the "best of the best" dividend paying stocks. We trade these stocks for short-term gains and we will also buy these stocks for their powerful dividend producing income with a purpose to make capital gains as the stock increases in value.
With these trades we attempt to get in and get out quickly. Once we buy, we immediately set an exit point of 3% above the buy price. We have had great success in the past. In fact, we have put together a string of 61 positions in a row that have hit our 3% target subsequent to the buy alert!
While we titled this service a "trader" service, we also invest in these dividend-paying stocks from time to time for the long-term. We will buy these stocks for their powerful dividend producing income with a purpose to make capital gains as the stock increases in value.
Many of the stocks that we will be "investing" in have had a history of raising their dividends almost every year. Year after year. This can be powerful. Building up your dividend income in a tax deferred account such as an IRA can siginficantly boost your account over the years.
Feel free to sign-up for a free 30-day trial. During such time you can review our Trade Tables and see the type of stocks we are buying. You will also receive in real-time all the new trading and investing alerts we send during your trial period!
Here is a play from the Dividend Trader Team:
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
Our Dividend Trader will be watching closely for entry points next week. We like Johnson & Johnson (Ticker: JNJ) for a new Trade position at its current price.
Have a great weekend and we'll trade next week.
Dividend Trader Team
Register Now
for a 30-day FREE trial to our Dividend Trader service.