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Safety -- By: Bill Kraft
Copyright 2010, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
 Bill Kraft Editor |
In last weekend's article, I suggested that a potential strategy
might be to capture 8% or 10% income and that a given investor might
be willing to exchange that regular income for potential capital
appreciation and that as long as he was getting his 8% or 10% it might
not matter what gyrations the underlying investment might undergo.
That was not meant as a recommendation, only as a method someone whose
priority was income might undertake.
An anonymous writer on the blog challenged the theory saying
that he/she would be happy with the return, but wanted safety. I
would suspect that safety is something that many would like, but my
question to the writer was how he defines safety. The term is
amorphous; it is relative, and it is not particularly helpful without
greater definition. What I might consider safe another might consider
to be somewhat risky or vice versa. Let me say that the markets are
not safe. There is risk in every investment. There were certainly
times when people believed that companies like Bear Stearns or General
Motors or Enron were "safe" investments. As it turned out, they
weren't.
Highly rated bonds were often considered safe, but we have seen
that it "ain't necessarily so." Safety in life, I believe is an
illusion. Is it safe to walk down a set of steps? I had a friend in
her 40's who died in a fall down the stairs. How about taking a walk?
People fall, get hit by lightening, run over by cars, etc., etc.
Complete safety is unlikely. I have found that trading safety
in my world is best established by exit strategy. Like most safety it
is imperfect, but it has worked well for me over time. Other safety
strategies may involve buying puts or creating hedges. However, it
seems to me that ultimately the trader must begin with his or her own
definition of what constitutes adequate safety for him or them. That
understanding is one of the elements necessary to address as the
trader formulates a personal plan as I have often mentioned in these
articles and treated in detail in my book "Trade Your Way to Wealth" .
Some time back I wrote an article on understanding oneself. I
believe that self-analysis must be the starting point for any
successful trader. He must understand his personal risk tolerance,
what he demands in terms of relative safety, what he is endeavoring to
accomplish with specificity, and the strategies and tactics he intends
to employ. It is simply inadequate and superficial to say he wants a
"safe" investment without understanding what "safe" means to him.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Success Trading Group -- by Success Trading Team
Our Success Trading service delivers quality trading ideas for the elite investor that has the financial wherewithal and market nimbleness to profit on small moves in a stock's price. Become a member and you will be provided with real-time alerts intended to provide you with the opportunity to make many, many profitable trades.
Here is a play from the Success Trading Group:
AT&T, Inc. (T)
Our Success Trading Group will be watching closely for entry points next week. We currently like AT&T Inc. (Ticker: T) at its current price for new positions.
Have a great weekend and we'll trade next week.
Success Trading Group Team
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Option Trader -- by Bill Kraft
Our Option Trading Service is for conservative traders that understand leverage principles and enjoy the challenge of options trading. We focus on powerful option trading strategies that place volatility and momentum in your favor. And we pride ourselves on always minimizing our losses!
The Option Trader service utilizes standard trading in Puts and Calls as well as strategies using Leaps, Straddles, Credit Spreads, Calendar Spreads, and Naked Puts. But no matter how sophisticated a strategy may be, we ALWAYS know our downside potential on every trade.
Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:
AMR Corporation (AMR)
With the recent jump in volatility, I like to look at
candidates where I can sell premium to take advantage of high implied
volatility that often translates into expensive options. They can be
particularly when they also appear to be overvalued. In the case of AMR,
I see a relatively low priced stock that appears as though it has formed
some support with options that appear that they may be relatively
expensive and somewhat overvalued. As I wrote this on Friday, the out of
the money June $6 puts were offering a static or unassigned return of
over 4% for the month. When selling naked puts, there is always the risk
that the stock may be assigned to me if the share price falls below the
strike I have sold so I have that amount less what the market pays me as
the overall risk in the trade.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
"Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
"Smart Investors Money Machine" is Bill Kraft's most recent publication.
"Trading for Keeps: Making Money with Low Risk Option Trades" a trading DVD by Bill Kraft
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Trend Trader -- by Bill Kraft
Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.
Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:
Cash America International, Inc. (CSH)
CSH appears to be forming a base in the $35 range near the
200 day exponential moving average.. An entry on a bounce up from that
support level might be attractive because it also offers a nearby exit
if the share price dips as well as it sets up a decent potential reward
to risk ratio with a target in the $41.50 area.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
"Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
"Smart Investors Money Machine" is Bill Kraft's most recent publication.
"Trading for Keeps: Making Money with Low Risk Option Trades" a trading DVD by Bill Kraft
Try our Trend Trader Real-Time Alert Service
and Get $50 off our Normal Website Rate!
$10 Trader -- by Bill Kraft
We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.
Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:
CIBER, Inc. (CBR)
CBR appears as though it may be in the process of
reaffirming the $3 level as support. With a positive divergence in
MACD, there is some suggestion that this one may be ready to begin a
move back up. If it can get past $3.20, it looks as though it has about
an 18 3/4% potential move before it has to deal with resistance.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
"Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
"Smart Investors Money Machine" is Bill Kraft's most recent publication.
"Trading for Keeps: Making Money with Low Risk Option Trades" a trading DVD by Bill Kraft
Try our Under $10 Trader Real-Time Alert Service!
Dividend Trader -- by Dividend Trader Team
Our Dividend Trader service focuses solely on the "best of the best" dividend paying stocks. We trade these stocks for short-term gains and we will also buy these stocks for their powerful dividend producing income with a purpose to make capital gains as the stock increases in value.
With these trades we attempt to get in and get out quickly. Once we buy, we immediately set an exit point of 3% above the buy price. We have had great success in the past. In fact, we have put together a string of 61 positions in a row that have hit our 3% target subsequent to the buy alert!
While we titled this service a "trader" service, we also invest in these dividend-paying stocks from time to time for the long-term. We will buy these stocks for their powerful dividend producing income with a purpose to make capital gains as the stock increases in value.
Many of the stocks that we will be "investing" in have had a history of raising their dividends almost every year. Year after year. This can be powerful. Building up your dividend income in a tax deferred account such as an IRA can siginficantly boost your account over the years.
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