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Emotional Issues (Weekend Newsletter)
Archived Issue

Weekend Newsletter
May 8, 2010

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    Emotional Issues


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  • Emotional Issues -- By: Bill Kraft
    Copyright 2010, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
    Bill Kraft
    Bill Kraft
    Editor

    Nearly everyone who has read anything about trading has been exposed to the notion that the markets operate on fear and greed. Consciously we know we can make money and we know can lose money when we trade and we have an emotional attachment to the money. If we start losing money, some element of fear tends to creep in and we might feel different than we do when we are making money and greed then may have the upper hand.

    It has been interesting to observe that many retail traders with whom I have become acquainted readily acknowledge and understand the danger of trading through emotion, but at the same time rarely do they appreciate that those emotions affect themselves personally. I confess that there was a time in my trading career where I was in that very boat. In other words, we understand how emotions can affect the other guy, but believe that we are somehow immune and able to overcome them without effort. As a matter of fact, it is the unusual person (I've yet to meet him or her) who has no emotion when it comes to their trading.

    Social security is a joke and provides no security. Liberals are ruining the country. Conservatives only care about their money. The SEC should be regulating more. The SEC should be regulating less. We need to clean house in Congress and elect all new officials. I am paying way too much in taxes. The United States should have only one religion and it should be the same as mine. The government should be able to control political speech.

    As you read those sentences did you feel any emotions? Did your blood boil over one or more of those statements? Did you feel like saying: "Right on!" to any of them? I'm guessing that with at least one of those statements you felt something, maybe even something powerful. In the past when I have included any statement related to politics the blog has been active and filled with both praise on one side and vitriol on the other. People feel passionate about many things, at times so passionate that they will sit down and write something to berate me for some view or praise me for some view. An emotional response has been triggered in them and it can be powerful. At times, emotions become so strong that they overcome things like manners and civility.

    If we feel such strong emotions about things like politics, imagine now how strong our emotions are about our money. Money buys what we need, it symbolizes what material things we may desire, it can symbolize security, shelter, food, education, safety, pleasure. If we lose our money we lose so many things including, perhaps, our dreams so the idea that we are losing our money can be very powerful. Conversely, gaining money may add to our feelings of security, enable us to achieve dreams, perhaps enhance our prestige, and may give us comfort. These are powerful images and it is no wonder that they can affect our trading quite dramatically.

    What can we do? It's unlikely that many of us can escape our emotions and even if we could would it be better? My suggestion is that we be aware of our emotions when trading; understand that they are present and can be powerful, allow ourselves to feel them, but at the same time act with a discipline that we have determined in advance. For example, suppose we are entering a trade and we have a pre-determined exit strategy. Let's say for that trade, a loss of 7% from our entry is our initial exit if the trade goes against us. Now, as the position begins to lose what are we feeling? Are we saying to ourselves: "It'll come back?" and if we do say that what might we do without a pre-determined exit plan? That's right, we may let it continue to drop hoping that it will come back. It might drop 8% or 15% or 90% and we're still holding on and waiting until maybe it just gets back to where we bought it, and so on. If we do have that pre-determined exit we may still feel the same emotions as the stock drops, but if we ignore the emotion, that "inner voice" saying it'll come back, and just follow the plan, we have accomplished what we really wanted to accomplish and that is to cut our losses. As has often been said: "The first loss is the best loss."

    When we have a plan and we follow that plan, we may bring another emotion to the fore and find that we are satisfied because we have done our job well. We have planned our trade and traded our plan. We cut our loss or we let our profit run as the case may be and in both cases we have been successful in making the trade as planned. After all, doesn't that feel better than letting a loss run, holding on hoping and waiting for it to come back?

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft


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    AT&T, Inc. (T)
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    Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:

    Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX)
    With the downdraft in the markets this weekend, Option Trader was able to capture a $3.05 a share gain on the short leg of a spread on FCX. Although far from a certainty, it now looks as though the stock may have established a support around the lows of Thursday and Friday. A bounce from there may provide a bullish entry for some in the money LEAPS calls.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft
    Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
    "Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
    "Smart Investors Money Machine" is Bill Kraft's most recent publication.
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  • Trend Trader -- by Bill Kraft

    Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.

    Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:

    Teekay Offshore Partners LP (TOO)
    TOO is an MLP (Master Limited Partnership) that I have traded in the past and is one that has paid a relatively strong distribution (over 10% on an annualized basis at current prices). It looks as though it may now be establishing a support level around the $18 level so a move up could provide an entry. I should note that it recently went ex-dividend on the quarterly distribution so it is too late to collect the upcoming distribution and one would not expect the next before August.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft
    Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
    "Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
    "Smart Investors Money Machine" is Bill Kraft's most recent publication.
    "Trading for Keeps: Making Money with Low Risk Option Trades" a trading DVD by Bill Kraft


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  • $10 Trader -- by Bill Kraft

    We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.

    Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:

    Lexington Realty Trust (LXP)
    $10 Trader closed another winning trade just in the nick of time on LXP this week, gaining 2.7% before commission in a trade that lasted about a month and a half. The stock looks as though it may have a level of support around the $6 level so I am watching how it reacts if it continues down to that level. A bounce from that area could signal an opportunity for a new entry.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft
    Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
    "Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
    "Smart Investors Money Machine" is Bill Kraft's most recent publication.
    "Trading for Keeps: Making Money with Low Risk Option Trades" a trading DVD by Bill Kraft


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    Many of the stocks that we will be "investing" in have had a history of raising their dividends almost every year. Year after year. This can be powerful. Building up your dividend income in a tax deferred account such as an IRA can siginficantly boost your account over the years.

    Feel free to sign-up for a free 30-day trial. During such time you can review our Trade Tables and see the type of stocks we are buying. You will also receive in real-time all the new trading and investing alerts we send during your trial period!

    Here is a play from the Dividend Trader Team:

    MDU Resources Group Inc. (MDU)
    Our Dividend Trader entered a new "trade" position in MDU Resources (Ticker: MDU) this week. We actually like MDU at its current price for new trade positions as well as for long-term hold ("invest") positions.

    Have a great weekend and we'll trade next week.
    Dividend Trader Team

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